I predicted this in July.I reprint my prediction below.The post was from 7-9-082008 STOCK MARKET CRASH
I believe the stock market is due for a correction. I will jump back in when the Dow hits 10,500 or less.A technical indicator named after the famous crash of the German airship of the late 1930s. The Hindenburg omen was developed to predict the potential for a financial market crash. It is created by monitoring the number of securities that form new 52-week highs relative to the number of securities that form new 52-week lows - the number of securities must be abnormally large. This criteria is deemed to be met when both numbers are greater than 2.2% of the total number of issues that trade on the NYSE (for that specific day)Traders use an abnormally high number of 52-week highs/lows because it suggests that market participants are starting to become unsure of the market's future direction and therefore could be due for a major correction. Proponents of this indicator argue that it has been very accurate in predicting sharp sell-offs in the past and that there are few indicators that can predict a market crash as accurately.-----------------------------------------------------Ben Lichtenstein on Jul.11th said 'If the Dow trips through 11,000 or lower, then 9,500 is possibility too'(LINK)
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